File:Sea level rise projections for the 21st century.png

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== {{int:filedesc}} ==
 
== {{int:filedesc}} ==
 
{{Information
 
{{Information
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|Description ={{en|1=This image shows sea level rise projections for the 21st century. Data are taken from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 2007), US National Research Council (US NRC, 2012) and Vermeer and Rahmstorf (2009).
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|Description ={{en|1=This image shows [[:en:current sea level rise|sea level rise]] projections for the 21st century, relative to the year 2000. Data are taken from the [[:en:Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change|Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change]] (IPCC, 2007), [[:en:US National Research Council|US National Research Council]] (US NRC, 2012) and Vermeer and Rahmstorf (2009). The IPCC (2007) estimates do not include all of the possible contributions from [[:en:ice sheet|ice sheet]]s (US NRC, 2012, pp.84-85). According to US NRC (2012, p.88), "the IPCC (2007) projections are likely underestimates because they do not account fully for [[:en:cryosphere|cryospheric]] processes". Projections for IPCC (2007) are given for the year 2100 only.
 

 

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I've prepared this draft image for discussion on the [[:en:global warming]] talk page, thread "section on natural systems" [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Talk:Global_warming#Section_on_natural_systems]. References for the image can be found there.}}
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'''Projections'''
 
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Projections are given below in centimetres (cm). Abbreviations: N = US NRC (2012), E = Vermeer and Rahmstorf (2009), and I = IPCC (2007).
 
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*For N: the first number is the projection, followed by the estimated error. Then follows the low- and high-range estimates.
 
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*For E, the first number is the projection, followed by the low- and high-range estimates.
 
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*For I, the first number is the low-range estimate, followed by the high-range estimate.
 
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''Year 2030:''
 
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*N: 13.5 ± 1.8. 8.3-23.2.
 
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*E: 18. 14-22.
 
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''Year 2050:''
 
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*N: 28 ± 3.2. 17.6-48.2.
 
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*E: 37. 28-47.
 
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''Year 2100:''
 
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*N: 82.7 ± 10.6. 50.4-140.2.
 
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*E: 121. 78-175.
 
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*I: 18-59.
 
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US NRC (2012) explain how these projections were made.
 
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'''References'''
 
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* {{Citation
 
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| year = 2007
 
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| author = IPCC AR4 WG1
 
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| chapter=Table SPM.3, Projections of Future Changes in Climate, in: Summary for Policymakers
 
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| title = Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the [[:en:IPCC Fourth Assessment Report|Fourth Assessment Report]] of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
 
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| editor = Solomon, S.; Qin, D.; Manning, M.; Chen, Z.; Marquis, M.; Averyt, K.B.; Tignor, M.; and Miller, H.L.
 
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| publisher = Cambridge University Press
 
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| url =http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/spmsspm-projections-of.html
 
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| isbn = 978-0-521-88009-1
 
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}}, p.13. (pb: ISBN: 978-0-521-70596-7)
 
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*{{citation
 
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| author=US NRC
 
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| year=2012
 
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| title=Sea-Level Rise for the Coasts of California, Oregon, and Washington: Past, Present, and Future
 
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| chapter=TABLE 5.2, in: Ch 5: Projections of Sea-Level Change
 
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| url=http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=13389&page=89
 
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| publisher=National Academies Press
 
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| location=Washington, D.C., USA
 
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| isbn=978-0-309-25594-3
 
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}}, p.89.
 
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*{{citation
 
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| author=Vermeer, M., and S. Rahmstorf
 
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| date=22 December 2009
 
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| title=Global sea level linked to global temperature
 
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| work=Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
 
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| url=http://www.pnas.org/content/106/51/21527.full
 
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| doi=10.1073/pnas.0907765106
 
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| volume=106
 
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| issue=51
 
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| pages=21,527-21,532
 
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}}, issue: 51.}}
 
|Source ={{own}}
 
|Source ={{own}}
 
|Author =[[User:Enescot|Enescot]]
 
|Author =[[User:Enescot|Enescot]]
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[[Category:Sea level]]
 
[[Category:Sea level]]
 
[[Category:Global warming graphs]]
 
[[Category:Global warming graphs]]
 
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== {{int:license-header}} ==
 
== {{int:license-header}} ==
 
{{self|Cc-zero}}
 
{{self|Cc-zero}}

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